Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) has said that there is a high likelihood that storm activity will be in the top one-third of years historically.

In its February forecast update for Atlantic hurricane activity in 2006, the website continues to anticipate an active season as a high probability.

TSR said that based on current and projected climate signals, Atlantic basin and US landfalling tropical cyclone activity are forecast to be close to 70% above the 1950-2005
norm in 2006.

It also said that there is a high (87%) likelihood that activity will be in the top one-third of years historically.

The forecast spans the period from 1st June to 30th November 2006 and employs data through to the end of January 2006.

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