Marsh UK's Tim Pritchard issues commercial rating forecast
Marsh has forecast that insurance rates for both property and casualty risks could fall by up to 10% in 2010.
Tim Pritchard, head of placement for Marsh UK’s large corporate accounts, said that competition for good risks remained strong, with plentiful capacity in both sectors.
“Insurers are looking to retain market share and are competing aggressively for good, well-managed risks. Combined with plentiful insurance capacity, rates in many classes of business have now fallen to the levels they were pre-2001," said Pritchard. "Having fallen 5% and 7% respectively so far this year, we expect UK property and casualty rates to fall by up to 10% next year.”
Pritchard said that more insurers had entered the market for casualty business. He gave the example of the stand alone employers’ liability insurance market which now had 11 insurers writing this business, compared to three in 2003. He also said that there was now much more competition for environmental liability classes.
On other lines of business, Pritchard added: “Competition for fleet motor business has remained strong and we expect rates in this sector to remain flat in 2010. Directors’ and Officers’ (D&O) insurance saw a spike in the first two quarters of 2009, especially for financial institutions where rates increased by up to 125%. However, the third quarter saw rate reductions of between 10% and 30% for non-financial institution D&O business and we expect to see rates fall further in the first half of next year.
“Companies that have not brought their insurance programme to the market for a few years would be well advised to do so now in order to take advantage of soft market rates. Good risks that have not come on to the market for several years are achieving significant savings, even beyond market trends.
“Insurers acknowledge that their loss ratios are lower because risk management within companies has improved. Although we expect 2010 insurance rates to remain soft, a mix of claims inflation and a diminished ability for insurers to release reserves means that the outlook for 2011 and beyond is tougher. Companies are well advised to embed, and be able to demonstrate, their risk management proficiency in order to maximise their ability to achieve the best possible deal from insurers.”